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It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air…

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Posted by:   bobo 2/13/2006 11:20 AM

(NOTE - Monday Night Lapdog Status: Weiss is the only one of the choagie gang to comment on this so far, and the best he could fumble out was that it was a "nasty rumor" which was too distasteful for his attentions. For the uninitiated in NY hack-media doubletalk, that is what  you say when you can't say, "It's all a stinking lie," and you don't want to have to confirm something as true - they think we are too stupid to get that, as we are all dumb hayseeds out here, West of Riverside Drive.

As predicted, not a peep out of single member of the legitimate truth-seeking financial press in that great city. I mean, it isn't like their fingers are all broken and nobody can pick up the phone, is it? Guess so. Or maybe silence is the best retort when confronted with a truth so embarrassing that there is no response possible that doesn't incriminate...)

===============

Well, in this latest update, I've been informed that the SEC inquiry into our favorite hedge fund and research group has gone formal. That means, for those who haven’t been following it, that after a long period of gathering information and investigating, that the SEC formalized their proceeding, submitting their case in writing to a panel in Washington, in order to get approval to issue subpoenas - and it was approved, creating a formal investigation. This is not a rumor. It is fact.

Now, for those that don’t understand what that means in real world terms, it's pretty simple: A federal marshal shows up at your door and serves you with a subpoena, and all of a sudden you are in a completely different ballgame. There aren’t a lot of reasons that the SEC goes formal, other than to subpoena. It is the unmistakable signal that you are going to receive the kind of scrutiny that makes an IRS audit seem like a picnic lunch with a Victoria’s Secret model. It is also done exclusively because the Commission is looking at either civil, or criminal, action(s).

Which raises the question, has the hedge fund in question been served with a subpoena yet? My hunch is that he has, or will be imminently. Assuming that is the case, it further raises the question as to whether he has the legal obligation to notify his investors that he is now the object of the government’s full weight and attention. And does he have a legal obligation to notify his network of brokers, bankers, and hedge fund buddies? I don’t know a lot about the law and how federal agencies work, but if you are a hedge fund, and you are getting subpoenas from the federales, is that a good thing, or a bad thing?

I asked my contact if a hedge fund had a fiduciary or legal obligation to notify their investors and their network of brokers and bankers, but he/she didn’t know. Seems like something that the investors would need to know, and also something that the banks and brokers and other hedge funds placing their trust in you would need to be immediately notified about – keeping it secret would create a certain friction, I would think, in those relationships…can you imagine the calls?

“Hello, XXX Partn…”

“Hi, XXX. Say, I was reading the web this morning, and I heard that a certain hedge fund got a subpoena from the Feds. You know anything about that?”

“…..uh….where did you see that?”

“That wasn’t the question, was it? The question was, did anyone we know get a subpoena, and not tell his good friends who are supporting him every day?”

“I…did someone say that we got served?”

“Again, wasn’t the question. Did you have a marshal show up at your door, and just not let us, your compadres, know about it? Because if that’s the case…”

“….Uh, Steve....babe….this line is breaking up….I’ll have to call you back….”

Perhaps one of the many newshounds that read this blog could do a little investigative journalism, and see if anyone they know got a subpoena, and if they’ve informed their investors and their network of this latest development? Maybe find out what kind of things the feds were requesting? Maybe nose around the SEC and see if there is anything abuzz?

I wonder if we will see any articles in the WSJ, or the NY Times, or Barrons, or TheStreet.com, or Reuters, or Dow Jones, or Fortune, or the Motley Fool, or the NY Post, about this? Want to bet on the answer?

----------------------

On another note, I was speaking with Dr. Byrne of OSTK via the bat phone (actually the bunny phone), and he told me that two of his affiants had been threatened by the Gradient/Rocker gang. The threats were along the lines of, “We know people everywhere, we can prevent you from ever getting work in this industry,” kind of stuff. Byrne says that Carr Bettis, the owner of Gradient, made the calls, and specifically said, “My lawyers told me it would be OK to call you.”

That sounds odd, as I would have thought there would be some sort of law or something that would prevent that sort of thing, in a lawsuit where the defendants are accused of behavior that sounds to my ear as being criminal. I can’t believe that it would be kosher to be threatening the witnesses that have submitted sworn statements to the court, supporting the allegations against the perpetrators.  

Does anyone legal-minded know anything about this stuff? Is it illegal to threaten witnesses, or par for the course?

Patrick also told me that he had gotten a nasty letter from their attorneys arguing that the materials that the affiants had provided to OSTK were somehow privileged, or obtained illegally, or some such. He told me that his response to them was that seven State and Federal law enforcement/regulatory agencies had already contacted him asking for the data, and that he (concerned citizen that he is) had of course provided them the materials; he says he did so hoping that some day we would hear about subpoenas being issued as a result.

Huh.

This looks like it will be in the limelight again soon, as March is coming quick, and the Marin court will be ruling on the SLAPP defense argument advanced by Rocker/Gradient. I’m guessing that the court will rule that the jury deserves to hear all the facts of the case, and that with 8 affiants testifying to collusive shenanigans there is adequate initial proof that this is about conduct, not speech, thus the SLAPP motion is frivolous. 

I would also hope that anything that comes up in discovery, when the OSTK team goes after the whole network alleged to be part of this little shindig, isn’t held internally, but instead goes straight to law enforcement (as Byrne did with the batch he sent to the aforementioned agencies). That’s what I would do. Cooperate with the authorities. Help them help themselves. If I was a betting man, I’d say that it could get quite hot in that kitchen sooner than later, and if the allegations are true, this could become about doing time, as well as money. Dunno. These things do have a way of spinning in unexpected ways, and Patrick sounded upbeat, and quite confident. 

He even let on that he has more than just a few “smooth stones” that are moving in the direction of the Wall Street “Goliath”, and felt that the next month or two would cause a radical shift in the public’s perspective of what this is all about, and just how big it is. Some of the names involved are, well, significant, to say the least. As we spoke, I got a mental image of a Claymore mine going off, discharging its lethal pattern of damage in the most brutal possible way. I’m not sure smooth stones and slingshots are the right metaphors, but time will tell. It will be fascinating to watch – given how one-sided the press has been, I can’t wait to see if there will be a media blackout when big names become part of the mix. 

If the allegations are true, I actually feel sorry for the Gradient guys – the lower members of the food chain usually are the ones to take big heat when things go ugly – rarely does the uber-boss take a bullet, but his capos are necessarily expendable.

I’ve been an interested bystander throughout this little vignette, and have cautioned against jumping to conclusions, but I will say this – all Patrick has to get approved is one of the nine counts he’s leveled at his adversaries, and discovery goes forward.

I would bet better than even money that they get it.

On Patrick’s side, discovery is being handled by a team of law firms that are working on pure contingency, a group of sharks that stared down Big Tobacco and won $17 billion in one state alone, and which have the deep pockets to afford any number of economists, lawyers, paralegals, etc. I would suspect that once they get into the operating room, the proctology exam is thorough, and protracted – and they are deeply interested in the naked short selling issue, so the trading records from the brokerages could yield a host of valuable data for yet more actions.

Sounds like there will soon be a thriving cottage industry, sifting through the mountains of documents and trading records that are going to be discovered from everyone with whom the allegedly innocent defendants ever did business.  Then, the world of theory collapses, and we get to find out what really goes on behind the curtain on Wall Street. I’m convinced that the entire network of brokers and hedge funds that Patrick believes are involved in this are looking forward to the opportunity to clear their good names by having all facts known – it is, after all, only the guilty that have anything to fear, and sunshine is a powerful antiseptic…

So, in summary, I would say, bring out the trading records, bring out the phone and email and IM logs, the banking docs, the offshore transfers and trades, the lists of investors and the sources of the funds, the ATM logs, etc. I personally believe that the NY folks have to be delighted that they will finally be able to dispel all the ugly controversy that has surrounded this case, and prove to the world that they are, indeed, without guilt of any sort. If they are telling the truth, Patrick will be paying their legal bills and they will be vindicated, so I’m sure I can imagine the eagerness with which they are saying, “Let’s go, bring it on, we have nothing to hide!”

This is anything but boring…

Copyright ©2006 Bob O'Brien
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Comments (22)
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air…Response By bburrell on 2/13/2006 12:12 PM
Threatening anyone, but particularly an affiant or potential witness in any proceeding, is criminal (not civil) Obstruction of Justice. It is a virtually foolproof indicator of guilt and fear when a potential plantiff/target takes such an approach. The affidavit/deposition of those threatened should be taken immediately, before time decay events set in. If a subpoena has already been served, the affidavit obtained should be formally served on the US Attorney in the matter, copied to the SEC. Such threats in the presence of a served subpoena is sure fire jail time.

You need to make sure you are reaching everyone so approached, whether affifiant or not. You can bet if they did it to two, they have done it to more.

After reading the posting on bankruptcy perjury and fraud and the US Attornies attitude towards it of no interest, your only insurance would be to call a press conference with anyone willing to be heard on whom subornation had been attempted. I can give you names of journalists who would both listen and print the story.

Gradient should Beware the Mob. They may have a relatively small number of clients with big money, but they are dramatically outnumbered by millions of victims with small or no money. If this turns to other methods of resolution, they are outnumbered 100000 to 1, conservatively. And this group contains many who have nothing left to lose. That is a bad bet.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By mhelburn on 2/13/2006 12:13 PM
When do you think that countersuit will arrive?
Countersuit By Craig Cunningham on 2/13/2006 12:36 PM
Oh, you know Rocker is good for his word, and they are going to sue any day now, just any day. They are just really busy now trying to sit on NFI and handle this subpeona, but it is coming, it really is.

Heh, sheesh Rocker is about as big a paper tiger as you can get. I can think of another euphemism for exactly the type of cat Rocker/Cahodes are, but I'll spare you the details.

Suffice it to say, they are all talk.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By bobo on 2/13/2006 12:35 PM
Ha ha ha ha ha. Mary, maybe on the first of never? Or rather, only once they see that this is inevitable, and need some PR play. The funny thing is that compared to a federal investigation, the civil thing pales. Especially if they are looking at criminal - I've always said that someone's head would wind up on a pike to show that something was being done - said it over a year ago.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By mhelburn on 2/13/2006 2:59 PM
I think there are far better scapegoats than Martha. That case was pure distraction while the high fraud continued. Her personal trading and lying are not to be condoned, but if she got 5 months and house arrest, I hope there are proportional punishments instore for whoever is abusing the system.

I was reading testimony by SEC and NASD officials from several years ago before the SBC. The apportionment of fines and recompense to victims was being discussed along with States recouping some of their expense for investigations and prosecutions. In the past, the fines went to the U.S. Treasury. Often times, the fines wouldn't even pay for the enforcement costs. States have budgets and they can't devote a lot to enforcement if they don't get some sort of cost adjustment.

It makes sense to me that the criminals should have to pay back what they stole plus the cost of prosecutions and something punitive besides. The idea that breaking the law and that the fines are just a cost of doing business has got to be overcome.

There are certainly enough honest people in the market that they could take over the work of the dishonest ones.

Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By WickedWorld on 2/13/2006 3:00 PM
Looks like we're cresting the hill.

Remember, gutless tu*d reporters hate pedalling uphill but they LOVE to pile on when it's time to coast.

BRAVO! to all gutless reporters everywhere. You get an A+....for consistency.

WickedWorld
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By InTheKnow on 2/13/2006 3:00 PM
It seems these bozos have been watching too much of the Sopranos and haven't come into the real world.

Hello! welcome to the real world! Clink!
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By Admiral Ackbar on 2/13/2006 3:01 PM
I'd prefer the investors find out while perusing the newspapers and/or overhear it at the country club. It would add much needed reinforcements to the fund investors suspicions that the hedge fund was not being entirely honest with them. Well... that along with fear and panic.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By Macroboyd on 2/13/2006 3:01 PM
You are doing a great service for the small investor! Thank you for your efforts and for keeping us informed.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By jerry on 2/13/2006 4:21 PM
Isn't Rocker Partners a big long in Martha Stewart's company? I wonder if he was a big short when she was going down?

I haven't met a single person who doesn't think she was railroaded, considering what Enron, Worldcom, Tyco, etc. were doing.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By bobo on 2/13/2006 3:10 PM
My sense is that this could get very ugly at some point. Very ugly. They have put the full court press into demonizing Byrne, and making me out to be a loon, but at the end of the day, when someone with a badge comes a knocking, the story changes.

One of the bashers on the NFI message board made the statement that the big bad wolf was intent on finding me and breaking down the door, and that he eats nails.

My comment, other than the observation that I have seen his picture and it is clear he eats a lot of everything, is that they all do, until they are looking at jail time, and then they are singing like canaries.

Boesky was 50 times bigger than these clowns, and they took him down, and he gave up Milken. And Milken WAS the junk bond business, many many billions - but they took him down. I'm quite sure that there are guys involved in this that are doing many, many billions, but history tells us that when the SEC decides to make an example of a few players and shut down a larcenous practice, size doesn't work in your favor.

Right now, this is just a stirring. But soon, I believe it will be an avalanche whose momentum will be unstoppable.

And they ALWAYS work up the food chain, not down. Always.

This is just the start. And if there are collusive elements at Lehman or Goldman or Bear (hypothetically) that have been selling 100K when there aren't any in the box, they won't take out the firm, but they will take some scalps - high level scalps. Set an example.

Then again, what do I know?
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By vex on 2/13/2006 7:43 PM
"Oh, you know Rocker is good for his word, and they are going to sue any day now, just any day. They are just really busy now trying to sit on NFI and handle this subpeona, but it is coming, it really is. "
Do you think they will use the OLD attorney that bailed on Rocker and quit. Or a new one?
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By other_opinions on 2/13/2006 7:44 PM
Bobo, I bet your weblogs have been fun reading today!

Congrats.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By Niel Storts on 2/13/2006 7:44 PM
Well "Bob" Look at it this way. The more dollars that are involved, the greater the incentive for all the leeches in the world to swim in for their spot in the feeding chain. We can expect a massive cloud of denial soon from the usual cast of caracters. Hoping their efforts will all be for naught. Keep up the good work.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By embraceyourinnerhillbily on 2/13/2006 8:49 PM
"Then again, what do I know?"

You know too much. Anonimity was/is a wise choice.
This is starting to get really intereresting.
I wonder what reporter will choose to go against the grain and finally report on this.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By z3peru on 2/13/2006 8:36 PM
Martha got 5 months in jail for a $230,000 trade which was her private business and done a day later would have been perfectly legal. If we look at the harm Rocker Partners has done to countless companies, what would be a punishment proportional to Martha's? About a light year.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By Anonymous on 2/13/2006 9:53 PM
Reporters in the northeast are simply not interested in hearing the truth about the hedge fund world. They depend way too much on those people as often un-named sources for their stories. They believe, as the SEC does, that short sellers are doing the white hat work in the stock market.

I've personally fed bulletproof and nearly complete stories on hedge fund insider trading and market manipulation to NE reporters only to have them pass. After two years of beating my head against the wall, I mentioned the story offhand to a reporter in a region of the country not beholden to the hedge fund business and, with some luck, the series will win them journalism awards this year.

Congress is too busy scoring points off one another to become interested until this reaches the scale of financial crisis. State-level regulators are too stupid (trust me on this one since I spent 40 hours with state regulators in the Spitzer analyst case and could not get them to understand the REAL damage was the link between analysts and the trading desk, not analysts and bankers).

Others here who wrote that people will jump on the bandwagon are partially correct. The NE media will make subtle fun of the allegations until it becomes obvious they are missing the story. Then they will go back into their e-mail records and call people like me to get comments on something we sent three years ago.

I'll tell them when I see a couple of stories and a very strong editorial castigating this illegal behavior and calling for a rainstorm of Congressional subpeonas, then I'll clue them in how far this stench goes and what needs to be done about it.

Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By mfairview on 2/14/2006 1:16 AM
re: Picking up the phone-- funny. I remember I got chided by one Jeff Matthews when he announced that Stormy Simon was indeed a stripper.

And I quote: ""mfairview": I have proof they are the same person, and if you Overstockians ever got off your rear ends and did some work you could do the same. All it took was a simple phone call. But, what the heck, it's easier to sit there and post all day on the message boards than do real work."

Jeff's phone must be busted because of the snow storm in the NE.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By mfairview on 2/14/2006 1:20 AM
BTW- What's the story behind Weiss & Tim's departure of BW?
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By adegracia1950 on 2/14/2006 2:20 AM
Jail time alone is too lenient for these scumbags.

These people need to be accountable for making their victims whole. Given the postulated extent of the problem, it will probably be years for the small guy to get past losses back. Any theories of how financial restitution would be enacted once the shit hits the fan?
I also liked hearing the info on Patrick Byrnes team of lawyers, nothing better than having experienced sharks in the water that are on our side even if it is for financial reasons.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By Anonymous on 2/14/2006 6:22 AM
Bobo, I think it is important to mention the names involved multiple times in your post so that the search engines correctly find and catalog the article here. The parties involved: Rocker Partners, David Rocker, Gradient, etc.

We want to make sure that investors or interested parties in Rocker Partners, David Rocker, Marc Cohodes can easily locate this information with simple Google searches.
Re: It’s Almost Spring, And Subpoenas Are in The Air… By Rock Partners on 2/25/2006 3:40 AM
David Rocker is one of the most honest people in the world and isn't manipulating NFI or any stock. NFI is and has been doing a great job of shooting the long investors in the foot for over two years so leave him along and allow him the respect to short novastar down to a penny. He's a genious and the fiction and lies against him won't stop him from covering his short position until NFI reaches a penny, which might be sooner than you think.

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