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WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets

Location: Blogs Bob O'Brien's Sanity Check Blog    
Posted by:   bobo 11/1/2006 9:09 AM

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Sign the Market Reform Petition now. Click here to view it.

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Breaking article from TheStreet.com, in which naked short selling is described six ways from sunday, but never actually called illegal, and in which the prevailing captured regulator stance is that the big brokers who HAVE TO BE SELLING THE NAKED SHARES couldn't be at fault or liable...

Dude. Naked Short Selling is illegal except for market makers engaging in bona-fide market making, and options MMs. Taking money and failing to deliver shares is illegal - it is fraud. Lose the street-friendly BS rhetoric and call it like it is.

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Why is the US market losing IPOs faster than the administration is losing poll points?

According to two inveterate New York authorities, the problem is four-fold. Here's how Schumer and Bloomberg put it in the WSJ:

"Based on the work completed so far, there are four factors that bear close attention: globalization of the capital markets, overregulation, frivolous litigation and incompatible accounting standards."

My reaction?

Pure bull. Of the highest order. Self-serving, Wall Street-driven bull.

The reason that Hong Kong is getting all the IPO action is because the markets are efficient, and NY's stranglehold on IPOs has been broken, allowing companies to go to favorable climates and evade the criminal cesspool that is the US system.

Consider this: Hong Kong has vastly superior transparency, and reports short interest twice a day, and also has safeguards against naked short selling, as well as restrictions on abusive short selling. They include:

Shorting is limited to liquid stocks, objectively defined by market capitalization and turnover ratio;

Positions are subject to disclosure for those who have at least a 1% short stake and who are also long at least 5%;

A stringent borrow requirement is in place - short sellers must provide documentary assurance (which may be in the form of written document, electronic document, tape recording etc.) to the broker-dealer, and the broker-dealer to obtain confirmation from the short seller, that the lender has the security available to lend to him before the broker-dealer can transmit the short selling order to the exchange for execution.

This was all in Bloomberg a while ago, thus it is incomprehensible to me that Mayor Bloomberg can't put two and two together here.

IPOs in the US have gone the way of the buggy whip because the entire system is now one big cheat/con job.

There. I've said it.

I've run the numbers before, and I'll do it one more time, just so you can see what I mean.  

The US system has been perverted from an auction market for items of value (stock) to a giant con game, wherein real dollars are exchanged for derivatives wholly lacking in underlying value. The cheat here is that the system lies to those whose real dollars - which were generated by labor, or innovation, or manufacturing - go into the system. It assures them that they are receiving shares of stock, and yet a percentage of all the trading is in fact not stock at all, but rather electronic ticks with no underlying value whatsoever.

That's the con game.

Because at the end of the day, all the money that is taken out of the system every year, in the form of huge bonuses, and profits, and fees, by all the brokers, not to mention the trillion dollar hedge fund industry, are real dollars.

Every year the real dollar exodus is genuine - leaving the worthless derivatives sitting in the system instead.

The numbers are pretty easy to get to once you understand the complete picture - and that picture is of a system so dependent upon stealing (that's what it actually is) a percentage of the GDP every year, that it cannot be fixed without destroying the system. What do I mean? An entire industry produces nothing, generates nothing, but the trading of these derivatives and the underlying stock - thus every dollar it generates in profit has to come out of a cut from the real dollars that pour into it. Ditto for hedge funds.

More and more of the profits for Wall Street come from stock lending and from profiting from reductions in asset values than ever before. All of this is an elaborate mechanism to take an ever larger cut of the real dollars that go into the system. The market is zero sum, in the sense that someone has to put money into the system in order for there to be money for the brokers and the hedge funds to pull out as fees and bonuses every year - many many many billions of fees and bonuses.

Where is all that money coming from?

My hunch? Much is from naked short selling, and its various permutations.

As discussed previously, about $100 billion per day of stock trades and clears.

Per the DTCC, $2 billion of those trades fail per day - $1 billion is handled by the Stock Borrow Program, leaving the other $1 billion to add to the pile of FTDs we see when we get FOIA reports.

The real magic of the con and the theft is in the netting.

Netting, both pre-netting (where brokers or their clearing houses net the day's buys and sells against each other) as well as CNS netting (where the NSCC nets liabilities and assets arising from stock trades - either pluses or minuses - against each other), is the key to understanding how large the con is, and how dangerously dependent upon sustaining the con the system is.

What do I mean?

Hold onto the $100 billion daily trade number, and the $2 billion fails number.

We know from the DTCC that 96% of all trades "net." That means that $96 billion per day is handled in the netting.

This works in two general ways. At the broker/clearing house level, if a buyer buys 1000 shares of OSTK, and a naked short seller sells 1200 shares of OSTK via the same broker or clearing house, then the pre-netting "nets" those transactions: 1000 buys offset 1200 FTDs, leaving a total of 200 FTDs.

These 200 FTDs then go into the CNS netting, which looks at all the shares held long by the broker on behalf of their customers in the fungible bulk held in the system. If that broker has 10,000 long shares, the 200 FTDs are netted against those, leaving 9800 long shares.

The system simply sees pluses and minuses.

So, for an FTD to show up at the FOIA data level, all the buys and sells have to net, and then all the FTDs have to be netted against all the shares held long, before the first one hits the system.

Now do you see how big this is?

Back to the $100 billion with $2 billion daily fails.

$96 billion nets, leaving $4 billion after netting.

Of which 50% fails.

50%.

Half of the $4 billion. $2 billion.

Now, that 50% is beyond frightening. Because the logical question is, "What percentage of the netted trades are failing, but are hidden from view by the netting process?"

50%? Less? Why less? Just to keep the number manageable, let's assume it is less by half - 25% instead of 50%.

That would have roughly $25 billion real dollars being paid into the system per day, in exchange for no-value derivatives falsely represented as shares.

That would be about $5 trillion per year. Give or take.

Now, the real con comes from the commissions generated from making these trades, as well as from playing the angle of depreciation of stocks targeted for destruction.

As we have discussed a million times, the system allows a hedge fund that naked short sells OSTK for $60 and $50 to pull out most of the difference between the price the sale was done at - say an average of $40 share price - and today's market price - say $20.

In just OSTK, if one fund has sold 10 million shares and failed to deliver them, that difference would be $200 million real dollars it can access, while still having never delivered squat.

And that, my friends, is one of the ways that real dollars flow out of the system into the pockets of Wall Street moguls who need new hockey rings, leaving the system holding nothing but markers. The commissions and fees go to the billion dollar bonuses for the brokers, the cash from the difference in sale and current price goes to the hedge funds.

Translating into a percentage of that $5 trillion annual failure guesstimate that is pulled out of the system as a tax on the real economy, by an economy that has convinced us all to put our real money into the system in exchange for their markers.

How much of the $5 trillion sticks to billionaire hedge fund managers who earn hundreds of millions or billions in bonuses per year? A good piece. How many tens of billions stick to the brokers who trade alongside them, and charge to "lend" them stock, and to process their trades? Many tens of billions. How much of that $5 trillion is responsible for the amazing growth in the value of many hedge funds? A lot.

But the money pulled out never returns to the system, year after year after year, as it produces nothing, invents nothing, but rather targets an increasing number of companies for the entropy scrapheap so that delta between $40 and $20 can be reaped.

Mayor Bloomberg, Senator Schumer, wake up and pour yourselves a nice hot cup of, "What a F-ing Disaster" and figure this out.

The system is so beholden to this organized stealing that it would collapse if you stopped it. And the miscreants who have created this nightmare understand that the only option is to continue sucking in new money, new rubes, so they can steal their 20 or 30 or 40% cut every year.

Think this is overstated, or not that big a deal? What is the total GDP?

How long can we as a nation remain viable with a decent percentage of our GDP being confiscated every year, exchanged for an empty bag of nothing? How much more of the baby boomers' retirements will have to be confiscated to keep this ponzi scheme going?

And that, my friends, is why smart money and virtually all IPO activity is going to HK, and places where the system can't steal tens of percentage points of the total market cap every year.

It's not accounting, or too much regulation, or any of the rest of that happy horsesh#t.

The truth is that if I can figure it out, so can many folks considering where to invest, or take their company public. And they are leaving. For good.

While the thieves continue to be allowed to steal our net worth.

Figure it out. 

Copyright ©2006 Bob O'Brien
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Comments (45)
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By rtway1 on 11/1/2006 12:08 PM
Bobo,
If I may, I would like to make a suggestion about this site. This is the best run and class site and I appreciate all the effort that goes in here. What would make an excellent addition to this site would be a question and answer site where only the most knowledgable would be giving the answers. Yourself, Dave Patch, Mark Faulk, Dr. Byrne, Dr. Trimbath etc, etc. instead of people who have opinions but rather people who know facts. I myself would love to talk to you one on one and ask questions that would clear up things in my less informed head. You could pick out the questions that are most asked or what you feel are most important. All questions need not be posted as that would be too much to ask of a rabbit who is already overworked and were not even close to Easter. Please give it some thought. It could be the wall of questions and I think that a lot of people feel as I do that this would be a plus for this site.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By makingmoney on 11/1/2006 9:47 AM
How the brokerages make money.

Let's say you deposit a certificate for 50,000 shares of Penny Corp. which trades 10,000 shares per day and is currently trading at $.50.

Your brokerage immediately sells it aggressively, getting an average of let's say $.34 for it. They now have $17,000 in their bank account and no shares. When you sell, they will try to force you to sell for less than they did and they will pocket the difference as cash.

I believe this process is computerized as it seems like a common scenario. Your brokerage will sell against you.

If the trade goes against them, they just refuse to take a loss. Let's say the stock goes to a dollar. They will short another 200,000 at a $1, thinking the run up can't be sustainable. They will have $217,000 cash for 250,000 shares or approx. $.87 per share.

If they get trapped, they will short at ever higher levels, raising their average share price, but refusing to ever cover. After all, Penny Corp. must be overvalued or it wouldn't be a penny stock.

The SEC encourages this process as it brings liquidity or added trading volume to the process.

They don't care that 9 times out of 10, your brokerage will make money off your asset by front running your selling.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By makingmoney on 11/1/2006 9:49 AM
To clarify, they sell 50,000 into the market for $17,000. Later, when you sell, you might sell 50,000 phantom shares for $10,000. They print the trade, keep the $7,000 difference and never go to the market.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By netting on 11/1/2006 1:36 PM
Could we start an "investment club" as an interim step to replacing the current system?

1. The club is run by a non profit group such as NCANS.

2. NCANS sets up a trust.

3. Anyone wanting to participate deposits their shares and they are registered in the name of the trust.

4. A simple web page is set up to manage bids and offers and members can buy and sell amongst themselves. There is hardly any expense as you don't have layers of ECN's, depositories, exchanges, market makers, specialists, clearing groups, etc. to deal with.

I would think most stocks would trade at a premium. For example, it would be worth money to me to know that I would get a dividend instead of a PIL or that I could pull my certificate on a moment's notice.

There would be no commissions except for costs which would be shared among members. Market depth, real time quotes, etc. would be free.

A fair casino will always suck money out of the dishonest ones. If we were to do something like this, it would be the fastest way to clean up the system as the trading club would attract investment dollars away from the thieves.

Trades would always be internal to the trading club, but it wouldn't take long before the club rivaled the biggest exchanges.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By netting on 11/1/2006 1:38 PM
Rtway, think of Operation Bermuda short. The FBI set up the sting, but it involved a number of European and Carribean island countries, Canada and US groups. Trying to do anything meaningful on the regulatory side would take forever as you followed the trail from one country to the next, going through the long process of getting access to records.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By ecn on 11/1/2006 1:54 PM
"The litigation alleged collusion among Wall Street traders, and was proven in 1998, leading to a $1 billion settlement from major Wall Street firms."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electronic_Communication_Network
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By ecn on 11/1/2006 1:55 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alternative_Trading_Systems
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Seize The Day on 11/1/2006 2:02 PM
They have stolen our property through illegal means. Their property was purchased with the stolen money. It is time for the government to seize their property since it was purchased with ill gotten gains.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Mosses on 11/1/2006 2:31 PM
Bobo, the answer to stopping naked short selling is right under our own noses.

PRIVATE TRADING SYSTEMS, INC

ITEM 1.

BUSINESS.



Overview


We have designed, developed, and plan to operate a trading system called the Private Equity Trading System, or PETS, on which institutional investors can exchange securities, instruments, or any financial asset that is capable of being converted to electronic form. The PETS system leverages hardware and “off-the-shelf” third-party software in concert with proprietary software that we have developed in order to provide a secure trading platform for virtually any tradable security or financial instrument in any financial market. We initially will have the capability of providing both a web-based portal and an Application Program Interface, or API, to meet the needs of both large and small customers with respect to their particular end-user interface requirements. The principal factor that differentiates our system from others available at present is that it closely combines the exchange and settlement functions, therefore enabling us to offer a facility for 24 hour per day trading with “straight through” processing and instantaneous settlement worldwide.


Currently, we do not possess patents on the PETS system. While we filed a provisional patent application with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, or USPTO, in November 2005 directed toward the PETS trading system, those provisional rights will expire in November 2006 and the patent will not be examined by the USPTO unless we file a non-provisional patent application before the expiration date. We intend to convert our provisional patent application into a non-provisional patent application and explore the filing of one or more international patent applications by that time, however, there can be no assurance that we will be successful in our efforts.


We are subject to and must obtain regulatory approval in each jurisdiction in which the PETS system is to operate, including the Swiss Federal Banking Commission for operating an exchange. We intend to apply for this approval in 2006. We cannot provide assurance that such regulatory approval will be obtained on a timely basis, if at all.


Our plan, while unproven at this time, is to focus on operating the PETS system, finding suitable niche financial markets where the performance of PETS can offer significant commercial advantage to our customers, widening the number of different types of tradable instruments that are available on PETS, and widening the number of settlement processes and custodian operations connected to the PETS system. There is no assurance that we will be successful in accomplishing these objectives.


Although the PETS system is largely untested to date, we believe that the system we have today, together with various enhancements that we plan to add in the future, has the potential to cause a profound change in the way securities are held at a custody level, traded, settled and cleared globally. Because the PETS system integrates all of these activities seamlessly, we can offer not only “straight through” processing and instantaneous settlement worldwide, but we believe we can do so at a cost basis that is lower than current alternatives.

We intend to generate revenue by charging a transaction fee based on all completed orders made through the PETS system. We would receive a transaction fee on each side of a trade and the fees would be automatically deducted from the buyer’s and seller’s respective accounts. The exact percentage received per transaction will vary. The value of the transaction also will play a role in determining the transaction fee percentage we receive, with higher value transactions receiving discounted fees. At this time, however, we are a development stage company. We have not had any meaningful revenues and have incurred a net loss of $10.5 million as of December 31, 2005.

Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By rtway1 on 11/1/2006 3:03 PM
Thanks netting.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Let them twist slowly in the wind. on 11/1/2006 3:48 PM
The chickens are coming home to roost!
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Iona Hogbin on 11/1/2006 4:02 PM
More sad stuff:

A prominent Westchester businessman has been charged with stealing his employees' identities to obtain more than $1 million in bank loans and credit card charges ...

http://www.silive.com/newsflash/metro/index.ssf?/base/news-21/1162410372191120.xml&storylist=simetro

The funny part is he was Business Man of the Year!!

Last year, Terrence Chalk ... was named businessperson of the year in February by the Westchester chapter of the Omega Psi Phi fraternity.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By x. trapnell on 11/1/2006 7:57 PM
Good choice to mention the Hong Kong market. They faced predatory hedge funds during the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98 and are very savvy about abusive practices and how to prevent them.

It's telling that a former British colony in Asia has better market regulation than the NYSE or Nasdaq. And how fitting that the largest IPO in history (the Industrial & Commercial Bank of China) was held in Hong Kong.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Endgame on 11/2/2006 5:31 AM
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&refer=columnist_gilbert&sid=atB3P3xe27FE

Hedge Funds Are Tempted to Let Loose Dogs of Risk: Mark Gilbert

"Nov. 2 (Bloomberg) -- You promised investors 15 percent, 20 percent, 25 percent returns. You took their money, subtracted your 2 percent fee, cranked up the spreadsheet and rolled your balls on the global roulette wheels.
And now, Mr. or Ms. Hedge Fund Manager, you have a choice. Hunker down to preserve this year's meager profits, acknowledging the danger that the money might walk back out the door in disgust. Or take the death-or-glory option, with some big, bold bets in the final two months as you try to rescue your year."

_____ _____


``As fund-of-fund investors push towards higher return funds to justify their own fee structure, hedge funds are being tempted to roll the dice one more time,'' says Chris Tinker, head of equity research at ICAP Plc in London. ``Things could get rather messy.''
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Freddo on 11/2/2006 8:06 AM
I love this place! Thank you all for such dilligent information. I hope individuals such as those present can band together to create a trading platform in which the lil guy can actually have a fair, and balanced environment to possibly make a fair ROI. I have learned so much just perusing threads like this one, and I greatly appreciate all of your efforts. It gives me hope that the good can overtake the nefarious where the first will be last, and the last to be first......I cannot thank all of you enough.

Keep up the good work. I truely, truely appreciate everyone in thier entirity here.

FC,CF
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By so enlitened so appreciative but so hopeless on 11/2/2006 10:05 AM
such an excellent response to "experts" bloomberg & schumer!
i still wish you could get it printed in WSJ, or other media with large all-at-one-time audience. this website is tremendous but how to get the impact & eyeballs at once so it can be thrust onto the public's attention & therefore on policy makers attention.
it's amazing how we continue to be ripped off and no one will represent our neglected cause. i'm beginning to understand anti-govt coups more and more.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By thatwouldbefine on 11/2/2006 11:14 AM
We need a newsletter to subscribe to.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By I'm gonna Ralph on 11/3/2006 1:36 AM
dreamingofanauctionmarket and netting: I think Mosses is right. The answer to this whole mess could be for people who understand how badly we're getting screwed to support any company that wants to start a new business that offers fair trading. The Private Equity Trading Systems (PETS' trading symbol = PVTM.pk) a company that offers instant settlement of trades, doesn't allow naked shorting, and appears to be running into some opposition from the same miscreants that would hate to see a company take away their gravy train. Do some DD and find out who the CEO of this company is. I'll give you a hint, he's not someone I'd want to screw around with and his first name is Bud.

I think a show of investor support for his company would send a signal to the criminals that we know what you're doing and we're here to put a stop to it. I also think that if a company like Overstock wanted to trap the shorts they could dematerialize their company and start trading it on PETS. I'm sure that would bring some attention to the issues.

Just my two cents, but I think PETS could be our path to returning honesty and fairness to the markets.

Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Steve M on 11/3/2006 2:54 AM
SEC Says Enforcement Cases Fell 8.9%

The Securities and Exchange Commission brought 574
enforcement actions in fiscal 2006, down 8.9% from the prior
year and extending a three-year decline from a record high in
fiscal 2003.

Results for the fiscal year ended Sept. 30, show a
big jump in SEC actions to deregister shares in companies that
are late in filing quarterly and annual results. The SEC brought
91 such actions in the just-ended fiscal year, up from 34 in fiscal
2005 and three in fiscal 2004.

They accounted for 16% of
the enforcement division’s total output in fiscal 2006, exceeding
cases involving broker-dealers, market manipulation, insider
trading and stock offerings.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By robelita on 11/3/2006 8:55 PM
OT-Some really good reading in the Nov. 13th copy of Fortune magazine. On the front cover is Mel Weiss (of Milberg Weiss fame) and a story of how the Feds going after the firm.

Hope all watched the HBO special last night on Election fraud-convincing argument for a return to paper (traceable) ballots.

Will have more to say about the election-keep up the good fight!

HASSENPFEFFER
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By PGWC Shareholder on 11/6/2006 10:00 PM
TIMELINE FOR PGWC SHARE PRICE DECLINE

May 05: Close $18.69 - 52 Week High $18.99 reached
May 15: Close $15.38 - Pullback after 52 WH
May 18: Close $17.43 - High of $18.10 (Failed to Breakout)
May 23: Close $16.10
May 24: Close $14.98
May 25: Close $13.15
May 26: Close $11.14

Jun 07: Close $10.43
Jun 13: Close $8.67 - Motely Fool - Pegasus' Broken Wings (Negative)
Jun 15: Close $5.83 - Volume 970K
Jun 30: Close $8.94 - Volume 7.88M

Jul 20: Close $5.24 - Volume 580K - Last Day of Selloff Beginning Jun 30
Jul 25: Close $7.00 - Q2 Released (Positive)
Jul 27: Close $6.88 - Motley Fool - Pegasus Flys Too High (Negative)

Aug 04: Close $6.03 - PGWC Announce special Warrant for Shareholders
Aug 18: Close $6.14 - Motley Fool - Pegasus Squeezes The Shorts (Negative)
Aug 24: Close $5.82 - Motley Fool - Don't Bet On This Horse (Negative)
Aug 30: Close $5.15 - Motley Fool - Who's Buying Now (Negative)
Aug 31: Close $3.43 - Response To Fool Article; Barrons Leak?

Sep 01: Close $2.36 - Response To Fool Article; Barrons Leak?
Sep 05: Close $1.51 - Barrons - The Medusa Effect (Negative)
Sep 06: Close $1.67 - Motley Fool - When Margin Makes Sense (Negative)
Sep 06: Close $1.67 - Motely Fool - The Case Against Small Caps (Negative)
Sep 11: Close $1.36 - PGWC Corporate Update (Positive)
Sep 14: Close $1.17 - Motley Fool - Apple's Latest Victims (Negative)
Sep 20: Close $1.09 - PGWC $10 Million Share Sale to CEO Amended (Negative)
Sep 21: Close $1.04 - Motley Fool - Be The Sith Lord (Negative)
Sep 25: Close $1.04 - PGWC Announces Leaving NASDAQ
Sep 26: Close $0.81 - Motley Fool - Pegasus Clips Its Own Wings (Negative)
Sep 28: Close $0.61 - Forbes - Beating Fails (Positive) - Volume 5.54M

Oct 03: Close $0.97 - Forbes - Attacks On Pegasus (Positive); Volume 6.36M
Oct 03: Close $0.97 - Forbes - Oxbridge Scams Pegasus (Neutral); Volume 6.36M
Oct 24: Close $0.74 - Motley Fool - You Have 23 Minutes To Decide (Negative)
Oct 27: Close $0.70 - Pink Sheets - Volume 7.96M

Nov 03: Close $0.65 - NASDAQ OTC BB - Volume 1.94M; Last Real Trade $0.74
Nov 06: Close $0.71 - Today - Volume 450K; Last Real Trade $0.73
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By davidn on 11/1/2006 10:04 AM
Great post, bunny. I get similar numbers and wouldn't be surprised to see that over 50% of daily trading is phantom. Like matter and anti matter, these phantom shares pop into existence, then poof away when there is a real sale as the system nets trades, always skimming a cut.

And like bunny says, this is REAL WEALTH that is being removed from the system. Out of the real cash earned by people that manufacture goods and services, a percentage is being skimmed out of the system. Billions of dollars are being taken from productive citizens and being given to thieves that control the politicians and regulators.

I'm going to repost the following from time to time to try and discourage the DTCC from fiddling with the numbers in their press releases.

After netting, I show $5 billion failed to deliver + 1 billion stock program = $6 billion failing out of $50 billion in trades that need to settle each day. This is 12% failing.

This is an "after netting" number and includes debt. If you look at pure equity, it wouldn't surprise me to find out that more than 75% of trades are not backed by real shares and net away as they pop into and out of existence.

I could see a possible argument for allowing the netting and liquidity if these ephemeral shares only popped around for a minute or two, but it is absolutely inexcusable that they persist in the system.

Indisputable Facts from 2005:

Dollar volume of debt and equity trades cleared through the NSCC each day: $500 billion (1)
Number of debt and equity trades cleared through the NSCC each day: 25.4 million (2)
Average dollar volume of a debt or equity trade: $19,700 (3)

Net marked to market value fails to receive equity trades outstanding: $3.4 billion (4)
Net marked to market value fails to deliver equity trades outstanding: $2.4 billion (5)
Net marked to market value of stock borrow program equity trades outstanding: $1 billion (6)

Net dollar volume of trades needing to settle on a typical day: $50 billion (7)
Net dollar value of trades that fail to settle on a typical day: $5 billion (8)
Value of Insurance Fund: $1.3 billion (9)

Number of brokerages protected by SIPC: 5,959 (10)
Percent of SIPC brokerages participants at the DTC: <10% (11)
Number of foreign and other non SIPC brokerages: Unknown

Percentages of brokerages who pre-net before CNS and not included in DTCC figures: >90%

Securities owned by Cede & Co. $31.2 trillion (12)



Footnotes:

1. DTCC annual report, pg. 3 http://dtcc.com/AboutUs/2005annual/dtcc2005_annual.pdf
$130.7 trillion / 260 weekdays = $500 billion per day

2. DTCC annual report, pg. 3
6.6 billion trades / 260 weekdays = $25.38 million per day

3. $500 billion / 25.4 million

3. DTCC annual report, pg. 64
"open positions due to NSCC approximated $3,423,028,000"

4. DTCC annual report, pg. 64
"open positions due by NSCC to participants approximated $2,445,326,000"

5. DTCC annual report, pg. 64
"...and $977,702,000 ...for securities borrowed through NSCC’s Stock Borrow Program."

6. DTCC annual report, pg. 64
Assumption that this represents a typical trading day's volume

7. DTCC annual report, pg. 64
"... NSCC has an obligation to complete pending transactions totaling $49.9 billion."

8. According to NSCC filings with the SEC
SEC proposed rules, pg. 3
http://www.sec.gov/rules/proposed/2006/34-54154.pdf
"According to the National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC), on an average day, approximately 1% (by dollar value) of all trades, including equity, debt, and municipal securities, fail to settle."
$130.7 trillion x .01 / 260 = $5 billion

9. Securities Investor Protection Corporation pg. 3
http://www.sipc.org/pdf/2005AnnualReport.pdf
"At year end, the SIPC Fund stood at just over $1,286,000,000."

10. Securities Investor Protection Corporation pg. 40
"Currently, SIPC has 5,959 members."

11. DTC Participant List
https://login.dtcc.com/dtcorg/binary/19003Part_Alpha.pdf
There are 1006 participants representing less than five hundred unique entities.

12. DTCC annual report, pg. 24
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By CMElec on 11/1/2006 10:08 AM
Scareeeeeeee.... what are we going to do.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By dreamingofanauctionmarket on 11/1/2006 10:14 AM
Look at this scenario.

A penny stock is bid .04 and ask $.06.

Someone buys 10,000 shares at $.06 + a 2% commission. They pay $612.

Someone else sells 10,000 shares at $.04 + a 2% commission. They get $408.

The difference is $204 which goes to the house, but the house is greedy and they want more. They need to be able to inject phantom shares into the system so they can get ALL the money that goes in.

Couldn't we get rid of these exchanges, depositories, brokerages and market makers and set up a simple government controlled or non profit matching service that matched buyers to sellers on an auction basis?

It's a simple web page and database. Google, are you up for the challenge?
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By manipulation on 11/1/2006 10:25 AM
The founder the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee says the U.S. government's so-called "Plunge Protection Team" is helping prop up the U.S. economy, dollar and stock market ­ until Election Day.

Then, says Bill Murphy, "all hell could break loose" as the government's "strong-dollar policy" completely breaks down and is exposed as nothing more than a "keep-gold-weak policy."

For the last seven years, Murphy says, GATA has pounded the table, insisting to the world the gold market is manipulated, but government leaders, the banking establishment and their captive financial press have refused to debate the issue, dismissing it as "conspiratorial" nonsense.

But Murphy contends "GATA has proof on the public record that central bank gold reserves on deposit are only half of the 32,000 tons they officially claim to hold and are now starting to hit the wall as gold prices keep rising."

Murphy sees a "convergence" coming in the gold market between the rising physical demand for gold and shrinking mining output and supply ­ with the gold price "management" by central banks caught in the squeeze.

The Wall Street Journal reports, "Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, a Wall Street veteran has reinvigorated the President's 'Working Group on Financial Markets' (PPT), which includes heads of the Fed, SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission."
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By hwh on 11/1/2006 10:57 AM
The US Markets figure there is enough patriotic money to keep them rich indefinitely. They have been trying to narrow the market, ie-take out the non pro's, much like they did the small town banks & family farms for years.

Policy is policy...hwh
Wikipedia:Articles for deletion/Gary Weiss By newspaper on 11/1/2006 11:17 AM
Look at all the comments. Most want to keep the current article. There are very few delete sentiments. I for 1 hate the wiki article as it is a POS and it needs to go.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Articles_for_deletion/Gary_Weiss
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By tommytoyz on 11/1/2006 11:44 AM
Very good Buffet-style-big-picture-post bunny!

The CNS pre-netting is one way how many fake security entitlements wind up in investor accounts in an ex-clearing fashion without going through the DTCC.

CNS netting is a de facto a self clearing accounting gimmick. What they can't self clear, they send to the NSCC.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By that would be fine on 11/1/2006 11:50 AM
Can you really rehab. a thief thats knows the systems to cheat with in money... UTAH please start an honest exchange for us retailers buyers
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By harryofanguslane on 11/1/2006 11:50 AM
Guess what, Bobo? It's not only the Big Guys that have wised up. Ever since the April, 2004 NFI takedown, I have been moving my investments from US to foreign securities; especially in Singapore and Hong Kong. It's tough enough to analyze individual stocks. I don't need to invest my time trying to guess whether a good idea for a US stock will come to naught when the Manipulators in the USA decide to have at it.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By bobo on 11/1/2006 11:55 AM
Harry: Drop me a line and let me know what you like over there...
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By didn't return a phone message on 11/1/2006 1:35 PM
Sandell Asset Management, a big hedge-fund firm that trades on the outcome of mergers and acquisitions, could face a civil lawsuit from the Securities and Exchange Commission over its trading in shares of lender Hibernia Corp., according to two people familiar with the situation.

http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7B26315171%2D03F1%2D485E%2DBFC7%2DB58F5D755367%7D&dist=rss&siteid=mktw&rss=1
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By bobo on 11/1/2006 12:30 PM
I already have the Experts speak out section wherein a string of questions were fielded by Dr. Trimbath.

Why don't you list some questions you have been thinking of, and I'll try my best to take a shot at it as time allows.
It's Real Simple By Roundclock on 11/1/2006 12:31 PM
Bobo -

It's real simple and I said it before in another post here regarding netting...you can't net apples and apple pie. The later is something more and different from the former.

Short sales need to be bonafied/bonded before they get into any system intended to derive net values and obligations.

The bigger question for me is: who does centralized netting serve? It certainly doesn't serve shareholders, for whom the whole kit and cabodle presumably exists. All shareholders care about is timely delivery versus payment.

What do you imagine the audit trail to look like in system of netting? Pretty opaque. And who does that serve?

And why is this done external to the primary brokers/dealers? Afterall, they could individually receive consolidated long and short positions and trade settlement instructions for each security for which a trade was executed. There is no reason, a priori, for any netting to take place.

When you hear the DTCC and others talk about the "efficiency" netting offers ask yourself: 1) who benefits, and 2) is the presumed benefit to the overall trading ecosystem real. I don't think that it is...remember, we're talking about electronic signals which provide instructions with respect to the handling of secured interests in corporations and in money. It would seem to me that the design of a control and reporting system in such an environment should emphasize auditability above all else. Why is this not the case? And why are we being lied to about the "efficiency" benefit?
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By rtway1 on 11/1/2006 12:53 PM
How long can they continue to ceate vapor shares or electronic entry before this sticks out like a horn on a bald Cramers head. Can they keep this going on indefinitely or will it take a market crash or extreme correction before these shares that are fraudulent will show up such as in someones IRA or pension fund.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By netting on 11/1/2006 1:04 PM
They say the reason for netting is because of the "paper crisis" where back offices couldn't keep up with the number of trades.

I say they are full of it. The only benefit of netting is that it makes the system impossible to audit or regulate.

Most back offices are computerized and so is the DTCC and NSCC. The whole back office paper crisis is a red herring.

If Google can handle billions of transactions, then why can't the stock exchanges?

The system is so broken that it is time to get rid of it completely.

- get rid of the NSCC, DTCC and market makers. They are parasites that skim value before we get a chance to make a dime on our investment.
- get rid of clearing brokerages and depositories, eliminating most back office functions. This should result in an order of magnitude lower trade commissions
- get rid of the insurance fund as an audited fair system doesn't expose investors to any systemic risk.

Why can't we make trades through a simple auction service? We keep our funds at our brokerage and they still keep their shares in a central location, but that location is either non profit or government run.

A computer program so simple an undergraduate could write it takes incoming buy and sell orders and routes them to a distributed database. If buys and sells match, then an audited, numbered trade transaction occurs and shares move from one brokerage to another by audited book entry.

If you get too many transactions, then BUY ANOTHER SERVER. Computers are really fast things and they are good at handling large numbers of transactions.

If foreigners want to invest in our markets, they would hold their real assets and book entries directly in the central location here, where we can regulate and control them.

Sheesh...
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By bobo on 11/1/2006 1:04 PM
Roundclock: Great points. The system is being used to fleece investors, all the more easily due to the way netting obfuscates actual delivery liabilities. Whether that is by design, or whether some bright lads figured out how to game the system, is irrelevant.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By rtway1 on 11/1/2006 1:07 PM
After all is said and done in the accounting and balancing at each BD office will there in fact be a paper trail or electronic trail or a second set of books that would indicate what they have been doing illegally. If there is such material is the physical thing that the enforcement agencies want and any lawyers in a suit against the BD. If anybody has knowledge of such crooked activities and does nothing to stop it or report it would they not be criminally liable if they were exposed and who would have to be the person or agency to start that gear in motion?
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By repo on 11/1/2006 1:11 PM
Bob, did you see the post about repo's?

Rather than lend the shares, they sell them, but enter into a contract to rebuy them back on a certain date at a certain price.

This is extremely similar to a share loan, but it doesn't show up in any of the SHO or short numbers.

The brokerages lend and sell your property, making fees and interest at your expense, yet they still charge commissions on trades...
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By netting on 11/1/2006 1:14 PM
Rtway, the problem is that paper trail is spread over numerous jurisdictions. You wouldn't know where to start to get search warrants and the trail would likely take you through many brokerages and many countries.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By Letmeout ofthiscasino on 11/1/2006 1:18 PM
Anyone know of an honest firm that would allow one to trade on the Hong Kong exchange?
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By bobo on 11/1/2006 1:21 PM
Repo: How prevalent is the repo thing? Do we have any stats on it?
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By repo on 11/1/2006 1:28 PM
It's huge. That may have been what the Refco disclosure was. (I can't remember, wasn't it shares sold, but not yet purchased or something like that).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Repurchase_agreement
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By rtway1 on 11/1/2006 1:32 PM
Netting, I am just assuming here so bear with me. If anyone of the jurisdictions were to find fraud or need for further investigation would this not set the gears in motion for the other jurisdictions and agencies to start the process needed to expose those involved or couls a whistle blower do it.
Re: WSJ Piece Today Can't Figure Out Why There's a Rush To Leave The US Markets By rtway1 on 11/1/2006 1:32 PM
Netting, I am just assuming here so bear with me. If anyone of the jurisdictions were to find fraud or need for further investigation would this not set the gears in motion for the other jurisdictions and agencies to start the process needed to expose those involved or couls a whistle blower do it.

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