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Astoundingly Well Written Report On The Anti-NSS Broker Lawsuit And The Implications Thereof

Location: Blogs Bob O'Brien's Sanity Check Blog    
Posted by:   bobo 4/17/2006 11:00 PM

Go to the following website and read the report there on the ramifications of the latest anti-naked short selling suit against the brokers:

http://www.vodiagroup.com/pdfs/seclending1.pdf

It lays out the mechanics of how broker-level naked short selling can occur, and more importantly articulates the money motivation for the brokerage industry.

It does not cover the profit to the hedge fund industry to be had from the resultant destruction in shareholder value.

It does articulate the size of the next big lawsuit to come down the pike, which is mind-boggling, and yet still peanuts compared to the largest ones, which will be against the brokers for actual damages resulting in their allowing rampant naked short selling in certain securities - i.e. if they allow millions and millions of FTDs on a basket of securities, thereby expanding supply far greater than the market demand can accommodate, thus destroying billions in market cap, then obviously they as the causal force will be culpable, as will the hedge funds that benefited.

I do want to qualify one statement, which is that the hedge funds can't naked short illegally unless their prime broker allows them to - true in a theoretical, strictly domestic sense, but false if one considers the international scope of the markets, and the many jurisdictions where there are no rules against naked short selling, or where they aren't enforced strictly - like Canada, the Caribbean, Malaysia, Thailand, etc. Further, the ECNs allow brokers in these jurisdictions to play fast and loose, acting as well-paid enablers for the funds.

I would argue that this is a chicken/egg scenario. If miscreant hedge fund A wants to employ a stock manipulation scheme to drive down the price of a stock, using a combination of doctored research, hatchet jobs in the press, class action suits, related party trading, collusive Internet message board posting, etc., then NSS is only a means to an end - a tactical mechanism to introduce massive volume and sell-side pressure to achieve the desired result - a depressed stock price. If the prime brokers are colluding for special customers and facilitating naked short selling by failing to borrow the shares, that is a different issue, although associated.

I think what will be discovered is that it is worse than this report presents - that the prime broker trading desks add fuel to the fire in destroying shareholder value by playing alongside the hedge funds on targeted stocks, thereby even further benefiting from the radically increased supply of bogus shares, and resultant drop in price.

I think that we will also see that there are complex international strategies wherein domestic prime brokers are used in conjunction with a myriad number of international clearing systems and brokers to further leverage the unfair advantage.

In my mind there are going to be interpenetrated offenses - 10b5 violations with RICO likelihood on the hedge fund side, and the bevy of broken rules from the prime broker side. In terms of liability, I think that the author is trying to articulate a contingent liability of epic proportions for an industry that has collectively stolen (that would be the word) hundreds of billions from American shareholders over the last 5 years.

And he is correctly predicting that smart attorneys are going to go after both the funds and the brokers for damages - I think he stays away from the obviously largest damages - the measurable loss in market cap to investors - because it sounds wild to consider hundred-billion dollar suits with a good chance of success due to direct and measurable malfeasance by brokers and hedge funds with deep pockets.

He does not touch upon what will happen when all those gamed shares have to be bought back in.

My feeling is that there is a lot of jockeying behind the scenes at the moment to reclassify FTDs into something else, thus removing them from the harsh glare of the public's scrutiny. I believe that a lot have been moved ex-clearing, and are now being called "open positions", and are being passed around in offshore venues to obfuscate the true nature of the obligations. Think Refco. Times a thousand.

Anyway, this is a great piece, and it qualifies why this is a sh#tstorm that will not be blowing over - the participants and the hedge funds will be fighting to point fingers and protest innocence - exactly as the S&L crooks did in that crisis.

And exactly as I have been predicting for the last year and a half.

Copyright ©2006 Bob O'Brien
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Comments (6)
Re: Astoundingly Well Written Report On The Anti-NSS Broker Lawsuit And The Implications Thereof By mhatmccane on 4/19/2006 8:15 AM
I don't know where you find all this stuff - truly amazing. You're doing a great job. Thank you.
Re: Astoundingly Well Written Report On The Anti-NSS Broker Lawsuit And The Implications Thereof By Jeremiah 9:24 on 4/19/2006 9:26 AM
This comment may have been a better fit with the last BobO blog piece, but I have a question for all to ponder: Is Annette Nazareth, the SEC Commissioner, (i) profoundly ignorant (even stupid), or (ii) willfully complicit, in bed so to speak, with the criminals? Is there another option, since "(iii) she is correct" is demonstrably not a choice? Has anyone seen her retract her very public "they are mad because they wanted their share prices to go up" comments, referring to those who claimed Reg. SHO was not working? Of course not because she has not.

And does anyone think that when she made those comments, she did not know what was going on in Canada, at DTCC, the clearing firms, the prime brokers, the hedge funds, etc.? Could it be that no one bothered to tell the Commissioners about the biggest financial crimes in US history, even today still being perpetrated under their noses? No one mentioned to Nazareth the thousands of shareholder/issuer complaints?

Is anyone calling for her to step down, and better yet be investigated by the FBI and DoJ? She should, and she should be. The first of many. Am I wrong in concluding this? Bob? Anyone?
Re: Astoundingly Well Written Report On The Anti-NSS Broker Lawsuit And The Implications Thereof By mwillwilly2003 on 4/19/2006 9:27 AM
Bobo, you may be overreaching a wee bit when you say that "He does not touch upon what will happen when all those gamed shares have to be bought back in." Because most of those "gamed shares" will NEVER be bought in; a complicit, financial industry- beholden SEC can be counted on to see to that. The fails will be discounted in some way, perhaps simply grandfathered (again). Congress, of course, will do little or nothing to compel the SEC to enforce the law, although they will likely make right-sounding political noises at strategic moments. Behind the scenes they will swallow the arguments of the SEC and the DB community that to force the miscreant wrongdoers to "make good" on their ill-gotten larceny would break the system, with disastrous consequences for the economy (as well as the current Administration). In other words, Congress, the NY financil press, the SEC and the larcenous crooks coexist in a sort of symiotic relationship, whether they want to or not. Strange bedfellows, perhaps, but bedfellows nonetheless. Our best hope remains the courts, not the politicians.


Re: Astoundingly Well Written Report On The Anti-NSS Broker Lawsuit And The Implications Thereof By InTheKnow on 4/19/2006 9:37 AM
Byrne's War
http://connect-utah.com/article.asp?r=1688&iid=43&sid=3
Re: Astoundingly Well Written Report On The Anti-NSS Broker Lawsuit And The Implications Thereof By canada on 4/19/2006 10:38 AM
Read this article on the guys who regulate the brokerages in Canada that allow shorting. I wonder who's pocket that money comes from...

http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/news/business/story.html?id=c6d0d6c4-d3d7-4baf-8b26-e55e9f523a91&k=92600

The author of this article is pit bull and can be reached:

http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/columnists/davidbaines.html
Re: Astoundingly Well Written Report On The Anti-NSS Broker Lawsuit And The Implications Thereof By friendofthedevil... on 4/19/2006 9:57 PM
The author of the report, Josh Galper of the Vodia Group, is quoted in this recent article about the Hedge Fund - Prime Broker lawsuit.

http://www.forbes.com/business/2006/04/11/hedge-funds-suit-prime-brokers-cx_lm_0413shorts.html

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